Wednesday, November 22, 2017

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

18

AIKMAN RATINGS COMMENTARY

AFTER WEEK 5

Five weeks into the NFL season the Lions, 49ers, Redskins and Bills have declared themselves as surprise division leaders or co-leaders – and the Aikman Ratings reflect their outstanding play.  All four rank in the top eight of the Aikman Combined so far with the 5-0 Lions narrowly ahead of their NFC North rivals the Packers at the top.

The 49ers move up to #3 after their big win over Tampa Bay, but even before that they stood 6th in the Aikman Combined after Week 4.

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No surprise that the Patriots are 1st in both Aikman Offense and the NFL’s yards-only ranking.  The efficient Bills, 11th in yards, have edged ahead of the Packers for the third spot.

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The Aikman Ratings were created after a 10-year study of average NFL performance with 75.0 being a mean performance and 50 and 100 representing the effective ends of the performance spectrum.   

That average has been edging slightly higher on offense, and lower on defense, in recent years, but never as dramatically as this year where the NFL average has risen to 79.7. 

In addition, in general, the range between the top and bottom offense has been greater than on defense.

That said, the Ravens have been outstanding performers on defense as measured at any time and opened up a lead of nearly six points over the 49ers with a score of 93.1 (an outstanding number in any year, but even more so in today’s offensive-minded NFL).

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The Aikman Ratings were originally designed to try to reward offenses and defenses that performed well in all the categories that produce winning results.  Troy Aikman felt that yards, while important, should not be the sole determinant of who has “the best” unit. 

Once again we are seeing a consistently higher level of winning performance for teams with higher Aikman Ratings as a glance at the column between Rank and Record in the Aikman Combined list shows. 

The Vikings and Panthers are two exceptions to that rule so far, but it will be interesting to see if their strong Aikman performance to date is a sign that more victories are in store as the season moves along.

 

Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 5, 2011

 

                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------

Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined

   1     5-0    Lions              171.3     89.9     81.4        10     12     22 

   2     5-0    Packers            170.8     95.7     75.1         4     21     25 

   3     4-1    49ers              170.1     82.9     87.2        27     13     40 

   4     3-1    Ravens             168.5     75.4     93.1        14      3     17 

   5     4-1    Patriots           165.7    100.8     64.9         1     32     33 

   6     4-1    Bills              162.2     96.2     66.0        11     30     41 

   7     3-2    Texans             159.3     81.6     77.7         8      7     15 

   8     3-1    Redskins           158.6     75.1     83.5        15      6     21 

   9     3-2    Giants             157.0     80.6     76.4        13     20     33 

  10     1-4    Vikings            156.8     81.0     75.8        24     14     38 

  11     3-2    Bengals            154.0     76.7     77.3        22      1     23 

  12     3-2    Raiders            152.4     92.3     60.1         9     31     40 

  13     4-1    Chargers           151.7     83.9     67.8         7      5     12 

  14     4-1    Saints             151.4     92.0     59.4         2     16     18 

  15     1-4    Panthers           150.9     84.6     66.3         5     18     23 

  16     2-3    Falcons            150.3     80.7     69.6        19     24     43 

  17     2-2    Browns             149.9     79.5     70.4        21      9     30 

  18     3-2    Titans             149.1     79.6     69.5        18     10     28 

  19     2-3    Jets               148.8     74.1     74.8        28     11     39 

  20     3-2    Steelers           148.0     77.3     70.8        12      2     14 

  21     2-2    Cowboys            147.5     73.1     74.4         6      4     10 

  22     2-3    Seahawks           142.8     70.9     71.9        29     17     46 

  23     2-3    Bears              142.7     77.2     65.4        23     29     52 

  24     3-2    Buccaneers         139.8     71.7     68.1        20     23     43 

  25     1-4    Eagles             139.1     81.6     57.4         3     15     18 

  26     1-4    Broncos            138.4     75.4     63.0        25.5   25     50.5

  27     1-4    Jaguars            136.8     65.6     71.2        32      8     40 

  28     1-4    Cardinals          136.4     68.4     68.0        17     22     39 

  29     0-4    Dolphins           133.2     70.9     62.3        16     28     44 

  30     0-5    Colts              132.2     69.4     62.7        30     26     56 

  31     0-4    Rams               128.2     65.2     62.9        31     27     58 

  32     2-3    Chiefs             127.8     71.0     56.8        25.5   19     44.5

 

 

 

Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 5, 2011

 

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER

   1       1      Patriots           100.8

   2      11      Bills               96.2

   3       4      Packers             95.7

   4       9      Raiders             92.3

   5       2      Saints              92.0

   6      10      Lions               89.9

   7       5      Panthers            84.6

   8       7      Chargers            83.9

   9      27      49ers               82.9

  10       8      Texans              81.6

  11       3      Eagles              81.6

  12      24      Vikings             81.0

  13      19      Falcons             80.7

  14      13      Giants              80.6

  15      18      Titans              79.6

  16      21      Browns              79.5

  17      12      Steelers            77.3

  18      23      Bears               77.2

  19      22      Bengals             76.7

  20      25.5    Broncos             75.4

  21      14      Ravens              75.4

  22      15      Redskins            75.1

  23      28      Jets                74.1

  24       6      Cowboys             73.1

  25      20      Buccaneers          71.7

  26      25.5    Chiefs              71.0

  27      29      Seahawks            70.9

  28      16      Dolphins            70.9

  29      30      Colts               69.4

  30      17      Cardinals           68.4

  31      32      Jaguars             65.6

  32      31      Rams                65.2

 

NFL Average                           79.7

 

 

 

Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 5, 2011

 

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER

   1       3      Ravens              93.1

   2      13      49ers               87.2

   3       6      Redskins            83.5

   4      12      Lions               81.4

   5       7      Texans              77.7

   6       1      Bengals             77.3

   7      20      Giants              76.4

   8      14      Vikings             75.8

   9      21      Packers             75.1

  10      11      Jets                74.8

  11       4      Cowboys             74.4

  12      17      Seahawks            71.9

  13       8      Jaguars             71.2

  14       2      Steelers            70.8

  15       9      Browns              70.4

  16      24      Falcons             69.6

  17      10      Titans              69.5

  18      23      Buccaneers          68.1

  19      22      Cardinals           68.0

  20       5      Chargers            67.8

  21      18      Panthers            66.3

  22      30      Bills               66.0

  23      29      Bears               65.4

  24      32      Patriots            64.9

  25      25      Broncos             63.0

  26      27      Rams                62.9

  27      26      Colts               62.7

  28      28      Dolphins            62.3

  29      31      Raiders             60.1

  30      16      Saints              59.4

  31      15      Eagles              57.4

  32      19      Chiefs              56.8

 

NFL Average                           70.3

 

Ratings Courtesy of STATS LLC

 

 

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