Thursday, March 30, 2017

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

24

AIKMAN RATINGS

Through Week 3

Some interesting developments in the Aikman Ratings after three weeks of the NFL season - especially after you get past the one-two punch of the Seahawks and Broncos who sit, as might be expected, atop the Aikman Combined.

Of the next nine teams, none were division champions a year ago and only the Colts went to the playoffs.

And the bottom of the Aikman Combined finds the distinguished trio of the 49ers, Steelers and Giants in the bottom four.  In addition to the 49ers, five other teams from last year’s playoff field are in the bottom half.

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The Aikman Ratings do agree with the NFL’s yards-only method in terms of the top offense (Broncos) and defense (Seahawks).

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One contention about the Aikman Ratings is that they measure a combination of seven categories that better correlate to winning than merely measuring yards gained.  Traditionally, teams with higher Aikman Game Ratings win more than 80% of their games while teams that gain more yards are usually victorious under 70% of the time.

That was especially true in Week 3 as all 16 teams with higher Aikman Game Ratings won, including the Dolphins, Bears and Bengals who were substantially outgained. 

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The undefeated Bears and Dolphins now rank in the top six of the Aikman Combined, despite being in the bottom four when you add up their combined NFL offense and defense rankings. 

 

Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 3, 2013

 

                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------

Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined

   1     3-0    Seahawks           182.1     85.8     96.2         8      1      9 

   2     3-0    Broncos            175.5    101.0     74.4         1     20     21 

   3     1-2    Panthers           174.5     88.4     86.0        24     10     34 

   4     3-0    Chiefs             172.1     81.5     90.6        21      8.5   29.5

   5     3-0    Bears              165.4     84.9     80.5        22     25     47 

   6     3-0    Dolphins           164.7     89.5     75.1        26     22     48 

   7     2-1    Colts              161.2     94.7     66.5        12     14     26 

   8     2-1    Lions              160.5     84.2     76.3         4     18     22 

   9     3-0    Saints             159.9     79.6     80.3         6      4     10 

  10     2-1    Jets               158.6     73.5     85.1        10      3     13 

  11     1-2    Eagles             156.5     86.5     70.0         2     30     32 

  12     3-0    Patriots           156.3     70.8     85.5        17      8.5   25.5

  13     2-1    Bengals            156.2     85.6     70.6        16     11     27 

  14     2-1    Cowboys            155.4     81.3     74.1        15     13     28 

  15     2-1    Texans             152.8     89.1     63.7         7      2      9 

  16     2-1    Titans             151.0     81.3     69.7        29      7     36 

  17     2-1    Ravens             150.6     79.0     71.5        30     15.5   45.5

  18     1-2    Packers            149.1     90.2     58.9         3     27     30 

  19     1-2    Bills              147.0     78.7     68.4        14     28     42 

  20     0-3    Buccaneers         146.7     67.0     79.7        31     15.5   46.5

  21     1-2    Chargers           144.3     92.1     52.1        11     31     42 

  22     1-2    Browns             144.0     70.8     73.2        25      6     31 

  23     1-2    Falcons            144.0     82.5     61.5         9     23     32 

  24     1-2    Cardinals          139.5     73.2     66.3        23     20     43 

  25     1-2    Rams               139.5     79.5     59.9        18     26     44 

  26     0-3    Vikings            138.4     72.0     66.4        19     29     48 

  27     1-2    Raiders            138.0     79.1     58.9        13     17     30 

  28     0-3    Redskins           136.7     80.1     56.7         5     32     37 

  29     1-2    49ers              129.7     69.7     59.9        27     12     39 

  30     0-3    Steelers           126.6     59.6     66.9        28      5     33 

  31     0-3    Giants             117.5     59.2     58.3        20     24     44 

  32     0-3    Jaguars            115.3     55.3     60.0        32     20     52 

 

 

 

Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 3, 2013

 

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER

   1       1      Broncos            101.0

   2      12      Colts               94.7

   3      11      Chargers            92.1

   4       3      Packers             90.2

   5      26      Dolphins            89.5

   6       7      Texans              89.1

   7      24      Panthers            88.4

   8       2      Eagles              86.5

   9       8      Seahawks            85.8

  10      16      Bengals             85.6

  11      22      Bears               84.9

  12       4      Lions               84.2

  13       9      Falcons             82.5

  14      21      Chiefs              81.5

  15      29      Titans              81.3

  16      15      Cowboys             81.3

  17       5      Redskins            80.1

  18       6      Saints              79.6

  19      18      Rams                79.5

  20      13      Raiders             79.1

  21      30      Ravens              79.0

  22      14      Bills               78.7

  23      10      Jets                73.5

  24      23      Cardinals           73.2

  25      19      Vikings             72.0

  26      25      Browns              70.8

  27      17      Patriots            70.8

  28      27      49ers               69.7

  29      31      Buccaneers          67.0

  30      28      Steelers            59.6

  31      20      Giants              59.2

  32      32      Jaguars             55.3

 

NFL Average                           79.5

 

 

 

Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 3, 2013

 

  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER

   1       1      Seahawks            96.2

   2       8.5    Chiefs              90.6

   3      10      Panthers            86.0

   4       8.5    Patriots            85.5

   5       3      Jets                85.1

   6      25      Bears               80.5

   7       4      Saints              80.3

   8      15.5    Buccaneers          79.7

   9      18      Lions               76.3

  10      22      Dolphins            75.1

  11      20      Broncos             74.4

  12      13      Cowboys             74.1

  13       6      Browns              73.2

  14      15.5    Ravens              71.5

  15      11      Bengals             70.6

  16      30      Eagles              70.0

  17       7      Titans              69.7

  18      28      Bills               68.4

  19       5      Steelers            66.9

  20      14      Colts               66.5

  21      29      Vikings             66.4

  22      20      Cardinals           66.3

  23       2      Texans              63.7

  24      23      Falcons             61.5

  25      20      Jaguars             60.0

  26      12      49ers               59.9

  27      26      Rams                59.9

  28      27      Packers             58.9

  29      17      Raiders             58.9

  30      24      Giants              58.3

  31      32      Redskins            56.7

  32      31      Chargers            52.1

 

NFL Average                           70.5

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