Thursday, March 30, 2017

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

19
AIKMAN RATINGS
Through Week 11
 
After their dramatic win over the Patriots to culminate Week 11, the Panthers not only remained in 1st place in the Aikman Combined Ratings – they advanced to the top of the Aikman Defense Ratings as well.
 
Carolina’s ascendancy displaces the Chiefs on Defense after an eight-week run. 
 
On the other hand, the Seahawks, who are 3rd in both Aikman Offense and Defense, have moved up into 2nd in the Aikman Combined and cut Carolina’s margin to 2.2 points.
 
- - -
 
One of the tenants of the Aikman Ratings is that it measures the factors that produce victories more than just total yards gained. 
 
That was shown again in Week 11, as teams with a higher Aikman Game Rating went 14-1, while teams that gained more yards were only 6-9.  Among the teams that were out-gained and won were the Buccaneers, Seahawks, Raiders and Bengals – all of whom coasted to double-figure wins and had higher Aikman Game Ratings.
 
- - -
 
We note that the Texans have a combined NFL Offense-Defense number of 9, 2nd-best in the NFL, with the NFL’s “number one defense.”  Yet they are 2-8, with an eight-game losing streak.  In those eight losses, Houston has out-gained its opponent in all but two, enhancing its NFL rankings while plunging towards the bottom of the league.
 
On the other hand, the Texans are a more reasonable 26th in the Aikman Combined Rankings. In the eight straight losses, Houston has had a lower Aikman Game Rating in six.
 
For the year, teams with higher Aikman Game Ratings have won 84% of their games, while those who gain more yardage are victorious just 61% of the time.
 
 
Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 11, 2013
 
                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------
Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined
   1     7-3    Panthers           172.3     86.6     85.8        22      3     25 
   2    10-1    Seahawks           170.1     87.3     82.8        12      2     14 
   3     9-1    Broncos            167.4     99.1     68.4         1     23     24 
   4     9-1    Chiefs             162.9     77.4     85.5        24     12     36 
   5     8-2    Saints             161.5     88.7     72.9         2      4      6 
   6     7-4    Bengals            157.9     79.1     78.8        10      6     16 
   7     6-4    49ers              157.5     81.2     76.3        29      7     36 
   8     6-4    Lions              156.9     86.1     70.8         4     25     29 
   9     7-3    Patriots           155.8     82.7     73.1        11     20     31 
  10     6-5    Eagles             155.0     84.6     70.5         5     31     36 
  11     7-3    Colts              154.4     84.5     70.0        13     22     35 
  12     6-4    Bears              152.3     84.8     67.5         9     24     33 
  13     5-5    Packers            151.6     84.2     67.4         3     18     21 
  14     4-6    Ravens             151.2     74.4     76.7        30     13     43 
  15     6-4    Cardinals          150.8     74.8     76.0        19      9     28 
  16     4-6    Titans             149.7     80.2     69.5        21     10     31 
  17     4-7    Bills              149.1     75.5     73.6        17     16     33 
  18     4-6    Chargers           148.6     85.9     62.6         7     27     34 
  19     2-8    Buccaneers         148.3     77.7     70.6        28     15     43 
  20     4-6    Rams               148.1     76.2     71.9        27     19     46 
  21     5-5    Dolphins           147.1     76.9     70.2        31     21     52 
  22     3-7    Redskins           146.9     85.5     61.3         6     28     34 
  23     4-6    Raiders            146.3     75.2     71.2        16     17     33 
  24     5-5    Cowboys            145.9     83.7     62.2        18     32     50 
  25     4-6    Steelers           142.0     75.2     66.8        15     14     29 
  26     2-8    Texans             141.9     74.5     67.3         8      1      9 
  27     5-5    Jets               141.8     72.9     68.9        20      8     28 
  28     4-6    Giants             140.8     67.9     72.9        23     11     34 
  29     4-6    Browns             140.1     72.0     68.1        25      5     30 
  30     2-8    Vikings            135.9     76.4     59.5        26     30     56 
  31     2-8    Falcons            132.9     76.9     56.0        14     26     40 
  32     1-9    Jaguars            116.0     57.2     58.7        32     29     61 
 
 
 
Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 11, 2013
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       1      Broncos             99.1
   2       2      Saints              88.7
   3      12      Seahawks            87.3
   4      22      Panthers            86.6
   5       4      Lions               86.1
   6       7      Chargers            85.9
   7       6      Redskins            85.5
   8       9      Bears               84.8
   9       5      Eagles              84.6
  10      13      Colts               84.5
  11       3      Packers             84.2
  12      18      Cowboys             83.7
  13      11      Patriots            82.7
  14      29      49ers               81.2
  15      21      Titans              80.2
  16      10      Bengals             79.1
  17      28      Buccaneers          77.7
  18      24      Chiefs              77.4
  19      31      Dolphins            76.9
  20      14      Falcons             76.9
  21      26      Vikings             76.4
  22      27      Rams                76.2
  23      17      Bills               75.5
  24      15      Steelers            75.2
  25      16      Raiders             75.2
  26      19      Cardinals           74.8
  27       8      Texans              74.5
  28      30      Ravens              74.4
  29      20      Jets                72.9
  30      25      Browns              72.0
  31      23      Giants              67.9
  32      32      Jaguars             57.2
 
NFL Average                           79.7
 
 
 
Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 11, 2013
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       3      Panthers            85.8
   2      12      Chiefs              85.5
   3       2      Seahawks            82.8
   4       6      Bengals             78.8
   5      13      Ravens              76.7
   6       7      49ers               76.3
   7       9      Cardinals           76.0
   8      16      Bills               73.6
   9      20      Patriots            73.1
  10      11      Giants              72.9
  11       4      Saints              72.9
  12      19      Rams                71.9
  13      17      Raiders             71.2
  14      25      Lions               70.8
  15      15      Buccaneers          70.6
  16      31      Eagles              70.5
  17      21      Dolphins            70.2
  18      22      Colts               70.0
  19      10      Titans              69.5
  20       8      Jets                68.9
  21      23      Broncos             68.4
  22       5      Browns              68.1
  23      24      Bears               67.5
  24      18      Packers             67.4
  25       1      Texans              67.3
  26      14      Steelers            66.8
  27      27      Chargers            62.6
  28      32      Cowboys             62.2
  29      28      Redskins            61.3
  30      30      Vikings             59.5
  31      29      Jaguars             58.7
  32      26      Falcons             56.0
 
NFL Average                           70.3
Copyright 2017 by Aikman Enterprises