Sunday, July 23, 2017

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

21
AIKMAN RATINGS
Thru Week 7
 
 
As the season approaches the midway point, the Aikman Ratings are more and more reflecting the perceived balance of power in the NFL, with the top seven teams all having a record of 5-2 or better.
 
After their big win over San Francisco, the Broncos move into 1st in the Aikman Combined Ratings, sliding ahead of last week’s leader, the Ravens.  At 170.4 and 168.3, respectively, these two teams have opened up a bit of distance ahead of the other 30 member clubs.
 
The Broncos also moved up into first in Aikman Offense, displacing the Saints, who fell to fourth as the Cowboys and Packers also advanced.
 
In Aikman Defense, it was the Ravens taking over first place after the Lions enjoyed a week in first.  Baltimore and Detroit are clearly the top two Aikman defenses so far in 2014. 
 
The NFL’s yards only method agrees with the Lions, but only casts the Ravens in the middle of the pack. Unlike the simplistic NFL method, the Aikmans take into account that Baltimore’s defense actually leads the league at a defense’s primary responsibility – keeping points off the scoreboard.  Also serving the Ravens well is a stingy red-zone defense that is allowing only 3.23 points per possession, nearly a full point better than any other team.
 
- - -
 
While the Aikman Combined Ratings generally line up in a manner consistent with won-loss records, the Cardinals and Eagles are two teams whose victory totals exceed their Aikman positions.
 
The Cardinals are 13th in the latest Aikman Combined Ratings and are 17th in Aikman Offense and 8th in Aikman Defense.  We note that they have beaten four teams lower in the Aikman Combined and lost to the #1 Broncos.  Their only result that is different than one would expect from the Aikman Combined Ratings is their one-point win over the #6 Chargers in Week 1.
 
The Eagles also have had a suspect schedule to date with only one opponent (the #4 Colts whom they beat) among the top 17 teams in the current Aikman Combined. Philadelphia is 9th in offense as measured by yards only, but ranks just 26th in Aikman Offense.  The Eagles are 13th in Offensive Points per Game, 26th in Red-Zone Points per Possession and a distant 32nd in Turnovers per Game – all factors detracting from their Aikman Offense standing.
 

 
 
Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 7, 2014
 
                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------
Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined
   1     5-1    Broncos            170.4     97.5     72.9         4      6     10  
   2     5-2    Ravens             168.3     87.7     80.7         7     16     23  
   3     6-1    Cowboys            163.6     93.3     70.3         3     14     17  
   4     5-2    Colts              163.1     89.8     73.3         1      3      4  
   5     5-2    Packers            161.7     92.5     69.2        25     19     44  
   6     5-2    Chargers           158.7     91.3     67.4        11      5     16  
   7     5-2    Lions              157.3     76.9     80.4        24      1     25  
   8     3-3    Chiefs             155.7     89.9     65.7        21     10     31  
   9     5-2    Patriots           154.1     85.0     69.1        18     12     30  
  10     3-4    Bears              153.4     83.9     69.5        17     17     34  
  11     3-3    Seahawks           153.1     91.5     61.6        15      8     23  
  12     3-3    Dolphins           152.3     80.8     71.5        12      4     16  
  13     5-1    Cardinals          151.8     81.3     70.5        28     18     46  
  14     3-4    Texans             151.7     79.0     72.7        19     26     45  
  15     3-3    Browns             151.0     85.7     65.2        10     29     39  
  16     2-4    Saints             149.7     91.9     57.8         2     21     23  
  17     3-2-1  Bengals            149.3     82.1     67.1        16     31     47  
  18     4-3    49ers              147.6     80.0     67.5        14      2     16  
  19     3-4    Giants             147.4     80.7     66.7        23     25     48  
  20     4-3    Bills              147.2     73.4     73.8        22     11     33  
  21     4-3    Steelers           146.3     80.3     66.0         8     15     23  
  22     2-5    Redskins           145.8     78.7     67.1         5      7     12  
  23     5-1    Eagles             145.7     76.1     69.6         9     24     33  
  24     2-4    Rams               145.3     82.0     63.3        13     23     36  
  25     2-5    Falcons            144.4     84.9     59.5         6     30     36  
  26     2-5    Titans             141.2     77.9     63.3        27     20     47  
  27     2-5    Vikings            140.0     71.9     68.1        29     13     42  
  28     3-3-1  Panthers           139.6     82.0     57.6        20     27     47  
  29     0-6    Raiders            137.9     75.8     62.2        32     22     54  
  30     1-6    Jaguars            137.1     68.9     68.2        31     28     59  
  31     1-6    Jets               133.6     73.4     60.2        26      9     35  
  32     1-5    Buccaneers         129.9     74.7     55.3        30     32     62  
 
 
 
Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 7, 2014
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       4      Broncos             97.5
   2       3      Cowboys             93.3
   3      25      Packers             92.5
   4       2      Saints              91.9
   5      15      Seahawks            91.5
   6      11      Chargers            91.3
   7      21      Chiefs              89.9
   8       1      Colts               89.8
   9       7      Ravens              87.7
  10      10      Browns              85.7
  11      18      Patriots            85.0
  12       6      Falcons             84.9
  13      17      Bears               83.9
  14      16      Bengals             82.1
  15      13      Rams                82.0
  16      20      Panthers            82.0
  17      28      Cardinals           81.3
  18      12      Dolphins            80.8
  19      23      Giants              80.7
  20       8      Steelers            80.3
  21      14      49ers               80.0
  22      19      Texans              79.0
  23       5      Redskins            78.7
  24      27      Titans              77.9
  25      24      Lions               76.9
  26       9      Eagles              76.1
  27      32      Raiders             75.8
  28      30      Buccaneers          74.7
  29      26      Jets                73.4
  30      22      Bills               73.4
  31      29      Vikings             71.9
  32      31      Jaguars             68.9
 
NFL Average                           82.5
 
 
 
Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 7, 2014
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1      16      Ravens              80.7
   2       1      Lions               80.4
   3      11      Bills               73.8
   4       3      Colts               73.3
   5       6      Broncos             72.9
   6      26      Texans              72.7
   7       4      Dolphins            71.5
   8      18      Cardinals           70.5
   9      14      Cowboys             70.3
  10      24      Eagles              69.6
  11      17      Bears               69.5
  12      19      Packers             69.2
  13      12      Patriots            69.1
  14      28      Jaguars             68.2
  15      13      Vikings             68.1
  16       2      49ers               67.5
  17       5      Chargers            67.4
  18      31      Bengals             67.1
  19       7      Redskins            67.1
  20      25      Giants              66.7
  21      15      Steelers            66.0
  22      10      Chiefs              65.7
  23      29      Browns              65.2
  24      20      Titans              63.3
  25      23      Rams                63.3
  26      22      Raiders             62.2
  27       8      Seahawks            61.6
  28       9      Jets                60.2
  29      30      Falcons             59.5
  30      21      Saints              57.8
  31      27      Panthers            57.6
  32      32      Buccaneers          55.3
 
NFL Average                           67.5
Copyright 2017 by Aikman Enterprises