Sunday, May 28, 2017

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

04
AIKMAN RATINGS
Thru Week 9
 
The top two teams in the Aikman Combined Ratings through Week 8, the Broncos and Ravens, both went down to defeat on Sunday, but it was Baltimore that took the bigger tumble in the Aikmans.
 
Denver retained the top spot in both the Aikman Combined and Aikman Offense, while the Ravens fell to 4th in the Combined and 2nd in Aikman Defense.  The idle Lions moved into the top spot on defense.
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Two weeks ago, we noted that the Cardinals were 5-1 but still only 13th in the Aikman Combined.  Now, after wins over Philadelphia and Dallas, they have surged up to 3rd.
 
It should be noted that the field of top teams in the Aikman Combined is unusually bunched, as the leader usually sits over 170.  With Denver atop the field at 166.4 there are no less than 14 other teams within 15 points of the Combined lead – all but the 4-4 Saints with winning records.
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The Aikman Ratings were founded to be a better reflection of all the factors that lead to winning than the mere totaling of yards (the NFL’s method of measuring offense and defense).
 
Last week, all 13 games were won by teams with higher Aikman Game Scores than their opponents.  That pushed the season mark up to 79% wins for the team with the higher score.  The 10-year average is 83%.
 
Teams with more yards gained have now won 69% of the time after going 9-4 last week.
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With five victories in a row, the Patriots have been surging.  They are “only” 7th in the current Aikman Combined, but we notice that if you added their NFL offensive and defensive rankings (10 on offense, 15 defense) the combined total of 25 only ranks as 11th.
 
Sunday, while cruising to a 43-20 win, they were outgained by the Broncos, 472 to 398.  On the other hand, the Patriots had a 98-79 advantage in Aikman Game Score and improved in the Aikman Ratings while faltering in the NFL’s.
 
 

 
 
Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 9, 2014
 
                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------
Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined
   1     6-2    Broncos            166.4     97.7     68.7         5      7     12  
   2     5-3    Chiefs             162.2     91.9     70.3        21      5     26  
   3     7-1    Cardinals          160.5     84.4     76.1        23     19     42  
   4     5-4    Ravens             159.4     84.7     74.7         9     12     21  
   5     5-3    Dolphins           158.4     82.2     76.2        11      3     14  
   6     6-3    Colts              158.3     91.0     67.3         1     18     19  
   7     7-2    Patriots           157.9     90.0     67.8        10     15     25  
   8     5-3    Packers            156.4     90.0     66.4        17     25     42  
   9     4-4    Saints             156.4     93.1     63.4         2     20     22  
  10     5-3    Seahawks           155.1     87.0     68.1        15      4     19  
  11     6-2    Lions              154.8     77.5     77.3        20      1     21  
  12     6-3    Cowboys            154.4     88.2     66.3         7     13     20  
  13     5-3    Browns             154.0     83.7     70.3        14     28.5   42.5
  14     5-2-1  Bengals            153.2     85.0     68.2        12     30     42  
  15     6-3    Steelers           152.8     86.9     65.9         3     14     17  
  16     4-5    Texans             152.0     80.0     72.0        16     27     43  
  17     3-5    Bears              149.9     85.0     64.9        13     21     34  
  18     5-3    Bills              149.6     76.0     73.6        24      8     32  
  19     5-4    Chargers           148.4     86.2     62.2        22     11     33  
  20     6-2    Eagles             147.7     77.2     70.5         4     22     26  
  21     3-5    Giants             146.8     82.0     64.8        18     28.5   46.5
  22     4-4    49ers              146.7     77.1     69.6        19      2     21  
  23     2-6    Falcons            146.6     86.3     60.4         8     32     40  
  24     3-6    Redskins           146.5     81.6     64.9         6     10     16  
  25     4-5    Vikings            145.8     77.0     68.8        29      9     38  
  26     3-5    Rams               142.6     76.5     66.1        28     17     45  
  27     3-5-1  Panthers           139.3     77.5     61.8        26     24     50  
  28     0-8    Raiders            138.3     75.0     63.3        32     16     48  
  29     1-8    Jaguars            138.2     70.4     67.8        30     26     56  
  30     2-6    Titans             138.0     76.0     62.0        27     23     50  
  31     1-8    Jets               132.7     73.9     58.8        25      6     31  
  32     1-7    Buccaneers         130.5     71.5     59.0        31     31     62  
 
 
 
Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 9, 2014
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       5      Broncos             97.7
   2       2      Saints              93.1
   3      21      Chiefs              91.9
   4       1      Colts               91.0
   5      10      Patriots            90.0
   6      17      Packers             90.0
   7       7      Cowboys             88.2
   8      15      Seahawks            87.0
   9       3      Steelers            86.9
  10       8      Falcons             86.3
  11      22      Chargers            86.2
  12      12      Bengals             85.0
  13      13      Bears               85.0
  14       9      Ravens              84.7
  15      23      Cardinals           84.4
  16      14      Browns              83.7
  17      11      Dolphins            82.2
  18      18      Giants              82.0
  19       6      Redskins            81.6
  20      16      Texans              80.0
  21      20      Lions               77.5
  22      26      Panthers            77.5
  23       4      Eagles              77.2
  24      19      49ers               77.1
  25      29      Vikings             77.0
  26      28      Rams                76.5
  27      24      Bills               76.0
  28      27      Titans              76.0
  29      32      Raiders             75.0
  30      25      Jets                73.9
  31      31      Buccaneers          71.5
  32      30      Jaguars             70.4
 
NFL Average                           82.6
 
 
 
Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 9, 2014
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       1      Lions               77.3
   2       3      Dolphins            76.2
   3      19      Cardinals           76.1
   4      12      Ravens              74.7
   5       8      Bills               73.6
   6      27      Texans              72.0
   7      22      Eagles              70.5
   8       5      Chiefs              70.3
   9      28.5    Browns              70.3
  10       2      49ers               69.6
  11       9      Vikings             68.8
  12       7      Broncos             68.7
  13      30      Bengals             68.2
  14       4      Seahawks            68.1
  15      15      Patriots            67.8
  16      26      Jaguars             67.8
  17      18      Colts               67.3
  18      25      Packers             66.4
  19      13      Cowboys             66.3
  20      17      Rams                66.1
  21      14      Steelers            65.9
  22      21      Bears               64.9
  23      10      Redskins            64.9
  24      28.5    Giants              64.8
  25      20      Saints              63.4
  26      16      Raiders             63.3
  27      11      Chargers            62.2
  28      23      Titans              62.0
  29      24      Panthers            61.8
  30      32      Falcons             60.4
  31      31      Buccaneers          59.0
  32       6      Jets                58.8
 
NFL Average                           67.4
 

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