Thursday, March 30, 2017

Aikman Efficiency Ratings

23
AIKMAN RATINGS
Thru Week 16
 
With one week remaining, the Patriots are atop the season-long Aikman Combined Ratings, but by less than a one-point margin over the Packers and Broncos.  The surging Seahawks, in fourth place now, are just 2.0 points back.  It marks the second week that New England, the team that has clinched home-field advantage in the AFC, has been 1st.
 
The Packers are atop the Aikman Offense Ratings for the third straight week, but their lead over the Patriots is just 0.6.
 
With the Cardinals defense collapsing against Seattle, Arizona fell to from 1st to 4th in Aikman Defense.  The Lions moved back into first after a one-week absence.  The Texans, a classic “Aikman” defense, are now 2nd, 1.8 points back.  The Lions face the Packers, who have been amazing offensively at Lambeau Field, in Week 17.  The Texans, at home against the Jaguars, have an easier match-up and could make up much, if not all, of their deficit in Week 17.
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The NFL, which only measures offense and defense by yards gained or allowed, would have you believe that the Texans defense is 21st so far in 2014.
 
The Aikman Defense Ratings, which measure seven different key categories, have Houston 19 places higher because, in part, they are 1st in takeaways, 5th in red-zone defense and 7th in points allowed on defense.
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It is quite possible that the four teams that earn byes this year will also finish 1 thru 4 in the final Aikman Combined.
 
Then there are three other teams (the Ravens, Texans and Chiefs), only one of whom, at most, will make the playoffs, but who line up with the Cowboys in the next four slots.  The Aikman Ratings often mirror many power rankings, but this season that has not been the case as these three teams have stayed ahead of the Lions, Cardinals and Colts and other teams that are in the playoffs in the Aikmans.  
 
We would also note that the Falcons have clearly performed better in the Aikman Ratings than the Panthers, with whom they have a Week 17 showdown.  Atlanta, despite its 6-9 record, now profiles as a fringe playoff team.
 
Turning to the bottom of the Aikman Combined, the teams that will be earning early draft picks almost perfectly line up in the rear of the rankings.
 
 

 
 
Aikman Combined Ratings Through Week 16, 2014
 
                                 --------- Aikman --------       ------- NFL --------
Rank  Record   Team             Combined     Off      Def       Off    Def  Combined
   1    12-3    Patriots           163.8     91.7     72.2        10     13     23  
   2    11-4    Packers            163.0     92.3     70.8         6     12     18  
   3    11-4    Broncos            163.0     90.7     72.3         4      3      7  
   4    11-4    Seahawks           161.8     88.3     73.4         9      1     10  
   5     9-6    Ravens             159.7     85.2     74.5        11      9     20  
   6    11-4    Cowboys            158.7     90.8     67.8         8     16     24  
   7     8-7    Texans             157.1     79.9     77.1        17     21     38  
   8     8-7    Chiefs             156.2     84.4     71.8        22      7     29  
   9    11-4    Lions              156.1     77.3     78.9        18      2     20  
  10    10-4-1  Bengals            154.1     82.7     71.5        15     22     37  
  11    10-5    Steelers           153.6     88.2     65.4         2     20     22  
  12    10-5    Colts              153.4     84.8     68.5         3     19     22  
  13     6-9    Falcons            152.4     87.7     64.7         7     32     39  
  14    11-4    Cardinals          151.3     75.8     75.5        28     24     52  
  15     6-9    Rams               151.2     76.6     74.6        25     18     43  
  16     8-7    Dolphins           150.7     81.8     68.9        16      8     24  
  17     6-9    Giants             150.1     81.2     69.0        12     28     40  
  18     9-6    Eagles             149.8     80.5     69.3         5     25     30  
  19     8-7    Bills              148.7     73.0     75.8        24      4     28  
  20     9-6    Chargers           148.6     82.0     66.6        19     11     30  
  21     6-9    Saints             146.9     88.3     58.5         1     31     32  
  22     7-8    Browns             146.3     74.0     72.3        21     23     44  
  23     6-9    Vikings            145.8     79.0     66.8        26     15     41  
  24     7-8    49ers              145.7     74.8     70.8        23      5     28  
  25     6-8-1  Panthers           145.3     79.4     65.9        14     10     24  
  26     5-10   Bears              143.7     78.8     65.0        20     30     50  
  27     4-11   Redskins           142.7     76.5     66.1        13     14     27  
  28     3-12   Raiders            139.5     74.1     65.4        32     17     49  
  29     3-12   Jets               137.3     72.4     64.8        27      6     33  
  30     3-12   Jaguars            136.4     68.5     67.9        30     27     57  
  31     2-13   Buccaneers         132.3     68.4     63.9        31     26     57  
  32     2-13   Titans             131.4     70.7     60.7        29     29     58  
 
 
 
Aikman Offense Ratings Through Week 16, 2014
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       6      Packers             92.3
   2      10      Patriots            91.7
   3       8      Cowboys             90.8
   4       4      Broncos             90.7
   5       1      Saints              88.3
   6       9      Seahawks            88.3
   7       2      Steelers            88.2
   8       7      Falcons             87.7
   9      11      Ravens              85.2
  10       3      Colts               84.8
  11      22      Chiefs              84.4
  12      15      Bengals             82.7
  13      19      Chargers            82.0
  14      16      Dolphins            81.8
  15      12      Giants              81.2
  16       5      Eagles              80.5
  17      17      Texans              79.9
  18      14      Panthers            79.4
  19      26      Vikings             79.0
  20      20      Bears               78.8
  21      18      Lions               77.3
  22      25      Rams                76.6
  23      13      Redskins            76.5
  24      28      Cardinals           75.8
  25      23      49ers               74.8
  26      32      Raiders             74.1
  27      21      Browns              74.0
  28      24      Bills               73.0
  29      27      Jets                72.4
  30      29      Titans              70.7
  31      30      Jaguars             68.5
  32      31      Buccaneers          68.4
 
NFL Average                           80.7
 
 
 
Aikman Defense Ratings Through Week 16, 2014
 
  Aik     NFL     Team                 AER
   1       2      Lions               78.9
   2      21      Texans              77.1
   3       4      Bills               75.8
   4      24      Cardinals           75.5
   5      18      Rams                74.6
   6       9      Ravens              74.5
   7       1      Seahawks            73.4
   8       3      Broncos             72.3
   9      23      Browns              72.3
  10      13      Patriots            72.2
  11       7      Chiefs              71.8
  12      22      Bengals             71.5
  13       5      49ers               70.8
  14      12      Packers             70.8
  15      25      Eagles              69.3
  16      28      Giants              69.0
  17       8      Dolphins            68.9
  18      19      Colts               68.5
  19      27      Jaguars             67.9
  20      16      Cowboys             67.8
  21      15      Vikings             66.8
  22      11      Chargers            66.6
  23      14      Redskins            66.1
  24      10      Panthers            65.9
  25      17      Raiders             65.4
  26      20      Steelers            65.4
  27      30      Bears               65.0
  28       6      Jets                64.8
  29      32      Falcons             64.7
  30      26      Buccaneers          63.9
  31      29      Titans              60.7
  32      31      Saints              58.5
 
NFL Average                           69.3
 
 

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